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Okay, from our studios this week in Orlando and Tampa. Yes,
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we're both in Florida this week. This is Green Tag
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Theme Park in thirty. I'm Philip. This is Scott Swinson
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of Scott Swinson Carey Development, and on Green Tag we
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look at the top news every week and we discuss
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why it matters to business professionals in the theme park
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and theme entertainment space. And this week I thought we
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could talk a little bit about the Vegas controversy and
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overall what it is saying or not saying about the
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drop in tourism. Maybe that's happening in the US. I
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don't know.
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You're so solid about your point of view, Philip.
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It's so this is why I thought it was a
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good discussion. Maybe maybe I don't know, And I think
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that's that's why it's a good discussion, because like, really,
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what is going on? Because we're getting like so many
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different data points from different people, so like that you.
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Happen in this environment? Huh? Anyway, go ahead, Oh goodness,
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let's dive into this quagmire of data points.
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Yes, about two weeks ago, we got this report out
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that kind of made a lot of news at the time,
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and we didn't talk about it because we were absorbed
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with the Six Flags saga. Although this is related to
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the Six Flag saga, right, So previously we had talked
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about the Six Flags saga of the last several episodes.
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So you all are familiar at this point with the
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troubles that are going on at Six Flags, right, quite
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a few troubles, not just in the leadership, but also
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in the numbers and attendance and blah blah blah. So
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against this backdrop, we got to report out a few
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weeks ago about Vegas and essentially for the sixth sixth,
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that's sixth consecutive month this year, Vegas experienced a decline
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in the number of visitors year over year, with June
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seeing nearly four hundred thousand fewer visitors or eleven point
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three percent drop compared to the same time last year.
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And the report that this is sighting comes from the
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Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority. It also said that
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a dip in tourism reflected a broader backdrop of persistent
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economic uncertainty and weaker consumer confidence. Among the biggest blows
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has been the loss of visitors from Canada, and then
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of course Another factor is a persistent inflation and economic uncertainty.
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And essentially what the report is saying is that the
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sentiment has also been reflected national surveys and that Americans
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intend to take vacations this summer, like smaller vacations. They
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like a smaller budget basically for their summer travel, So
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still doing travel, but a smaller budget. So I feel
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like these are all part of a larger story. We
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talked so much about the Six Flag numbers and what's
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going on there. We had this report come out about Vegas,
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but then we also saw earnings reports that we didn't
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dive too much into. But the Disney ones were really
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good as usual, like the Disney ones were great. The
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Universal ones still good, a little bit more mixed, of course,
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because Universal's main business, of course, is still cable. But
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we did get news about Dark Universe. The Monsters ride
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there seeing a million visitors, which I assume doesn't mean
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a million uniques. I assume it means like a million turnstiles,
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right in terms of the queue. Right. But then obviously
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Six Flags Challenges and then SeaWorld the United Parks Challenges, right,
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their attendance was up, but their revenue was down and
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we talked a little bit about how they the CEO
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talked about the kind of the rising tide of their
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Orlando SeaWorld Orlando saw a huge increase in attendance, but
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that was and that can be traced exactly to the
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opening of Epic. So there's a lot of like I think,
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different markers were getting from all around the country. And
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the last thing I'll add to this picture this quagmire
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is that I was in Vegas for the opening of
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Horror Unleashed, and while I was there, I interviewed Egan
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and Jason Egan has five attractions in the Vegas area.
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So he has the Escape It chapters one and two,
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each of which is a ninety minute experience with sixteenth
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room sixteen rooms on each side and live actors, so
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they're big experiences. He also has a John Wick Experience,
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he has the Saw Escape, and he has a Blair
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Witch as well, So he has all ip and a
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lot of attractions are all around the Vegas area. And
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what he told me is similar to what we kind
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of heard from Seworld Orlando. Like he's like his stuff
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has been sold out, I mean all he's he's noticed
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a significant tick uptick in all of his attractions. They're
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all doing fine. He's had many areas that have been
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selling out, but his price point is much less, right,
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so Universal Horror unleashed. It's about eighty dollars for the
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one time visit to the haunts, so it's four haunts
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and it's eighty dollars. But his is like, you know,
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the ninety minute experience is about fifty five dollars, So
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it's a little bit less and the target point. So
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I kind of asked him he thinks that Vegas is
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this could be a blip, but he thinks Vegas is
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still worth betting on, obviously, and that his numbers have
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been fine. And we talked a little bit about the
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value seeking also nature of you know, the way he
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set up his businesses are all like in that still
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that value market like it's the perceived value is very high,
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right if it's fifty five of a person, but it's
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a ninety minute experience plus the shopping and plus X
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y Z that you can do your friends, it's quite
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a long time. Yeah, I don't know, Scott, what are
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we supposed to make of all of this information?
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Well, again, I'm not sure either, but I think there's
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a couple things that we have to take into consideration.
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You know, I've I've been hesitant to say it on
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this show, but I am concerned at this moment for
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the short term success of the Grand Theme Park. I mean,
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we're seeing it. We're seeing it obviously with six Flags,
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seeing it with the SeaWorld Parks and the Universal Parks
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and resorts, and I think I think part of that
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is because we've become so we as a as a culture,
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have become an American culture at least, have become so
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focused on we can get precisely what we want and
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we don't have to to dig through other muck and
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meyer to get there. So that makes that would help
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explain why the the the we'll call them the Egan
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experiences in Vegas are doing so well because they go
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specifically to the experience the guest wants, with the IP
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the guest wants to deal with. They don't have to
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pay extra for all the other stuff. They can go
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straight to what they want and they don't have to
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wade through other things. So I think I think that
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is a factor. I also think that there's and I'm
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hoping this is short term, but there is a sense
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of uncertain right now in in pretty much everything in
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the States, and I think that, you know, mentioning that
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the Canadian tourism is down in Vegas, Canadian tourist tourism
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is down everywhere, mainly because the country is recommending that
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people don't come here. There's that, and there are other
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European countries that are doing the same thing because of
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the uncertainty of our current political situation that they're they're
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recommending against traveling here. So I think international tourism is down,
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which of course hurts theme parks. Hurts theme parks a lot,
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So I think that there's there's that factor. I I
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also think that in in that desire, you know, we've
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talked about the importance of of immersive and I'm not
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even going to use the term immersive. I'm going to
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use focused or interactive or engageable or specifically what the
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guest wants. I think that is on the is on
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the So I think the massive theme parks have less
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of an appeal. They're too homogeneous. You know, before we started,
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before we started recording, we were talking about how you know,
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cosplay is basically just exploding and it's always been popular,
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but it's it's it's hit that tipping point. It's crossed
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over into the mainstream now. And because I think that
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addresses all the things that I just talked about. If
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you are a if you are a fan of Firefly,
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you can specifically focus on cosplay. You can go out
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and be you know, any of the Firefly characters. Or
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if you're a Deadpool fanatic, you can be a Deadpool character.
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You can so you can get that focus. You can
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be interactive, you can participate, and you know, I I've done.
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I've done Comic Con, I've done gen Con, I've done
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You've done Comic Con in San Diego. They're massive, absolutely
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massive audiences and they are exploding. So people don't have
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to go to theme parks to meet their favorite character.
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They go to cons to become their favorite character.
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Yep, it's interesting that you bring that up. I went
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to Anime New York City this past weekend and I
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just came into Florida from there, and I got a
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press release afterwards saying that they had a record year
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of one hundred and forty thousand attendees at Anime New
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York City, and previous to that, Anime Los Angeles, which
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is the one I've been going to for like fifteen years.
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They had four hundred and twenty thousand people at I
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mean like that is like.
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Over over how many days?
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Four days? Yeah, And see they had to they've had,
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like we said, they had to expand to take the
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entire block basically, and they had to move the security
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lines way out and just reconfigure the entire city basically
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to be able to fit that many people through that area.
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So yeah, and I wonder some of the stuff you said,
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It's like it's maybe this thing about focus. It's maybe
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also about the like with the Mega Park, I feel
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like we've made it too difficult in a way. And
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we talked about this with the app at Disney and
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the whole it being like a whole thing. I mean,
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it's so difficult, Like I mean, I but also the
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crowds of I don't know, it's so weird because we
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have these so many these different signals, right, we have
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on this one hand, everyone's like economy and value it,
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Oh my gosh, and then record attendants right at anime
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and all these things, and then also record attendants at
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Mickey's Not So Scary Halloween party, right, like I was
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there just last night and targeted audience.
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Yeah, oh yeah, more targeted than their day product.
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It's true. And it was absolutely like packed. And I
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mean there's there's been videos going around on the line
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that are like memes at this point with like that
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the crowds are insane in August, and it is true.
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Like I try to watch the first parade and I
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think I walked the entire parade line and it was
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five or six people deep the entire line. And it's
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and this is like, you know, August twenty fourth, you know,
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and it's.
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So we have a lot of mixed signals. It's interesting
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that you say it's already meme worthy. I saw I
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saw a meme from Not So Scary, and it was
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it was a shot of the crowds as they were exiting,
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and yes, yeah, it says the top go to hell,
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and the person below says, I think I'm already there.
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It's just trying to exit from Mickey's Not So Scary.
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Well exactly, so, I just I do feel like you're
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to your point of the mega park. It's kind of
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like it's almost become a little bit too much, and
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that could be what so Basically, I don't know what
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to think about any of this. I think we're just
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having a discussion about all the different data points and
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track them up with correct you know. But I do
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have that sense that like I do sense that in
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all the cases that it's that value mindedness, like that
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value like that sense of people seeking value for some reason.
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And then of course you pair that with trends we've
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been talking about previously, which is the trend that you
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do have a lot more people that have a lot
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more exposable income. So I think that there's multiple things happening.
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I think that's the problem. It's like, just like the pandemic,
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this is uneven because there are different things happening, they're
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different forces. So you do have people that have a
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lot of money, and so they're going to keep going
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to Disney and do the Disney experience. And even we
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didn't talk about this, but even the VIP experience that
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was announced for Horror Unleashed is twenty seven hundred dollars
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for Horror Unleashed for three hours, and because it's Vegas,
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because people still have the money. So I think you
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have that that trend.
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And in Vegas, not only do you have not only
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do they have the money, not only are they on vacation,
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but that actually targets the people who all of a
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sudden just hit it big in the casino and they're like, well,
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I have earned this, you know. So it's really the
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casino's paying for a lot of that, I'm afraid. But again,
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I think the other thing that I think is important
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to recognize is, you know, we're talking, as you say,
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we're talking about the various data points, but I don't
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think we're the only ones doing it, because just the
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very construction of Epic Universe, for example, those portals take
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you into a very focused, very specific ip and I've
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talked to many people who will say, of course I